The U.S. Treasury yield curve entered an unprecedented state this week, with one-month yields rising above three-month yields for the first time since the subprime mortgage crisis, due to investors' ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

The Treasury yield curve has witnessed substantial volatility in recent weeks as a result of multiple shocks, mostly related to Fed interest rate expectations, the dangers of a recession, and the ...

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Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

A version of this article was published in the November 2015 issue of Morningstar ETFInvestor. Download a complimentary copy of ETFInvestor here. Flaw of Averages Duration, by itself, is a crude ...